Skellefteå will change. Quickly and a lot.
Perhaps this is where growth and population increase will be greatest in Sweden until 2030. But how many more people will there be? How many new jobs will there be? How many more pupils will come to the primary schools?
These are some of the questions that Skellefteå municipality gave community developers Ramboll the task of looking at. Based on the situation that is known today, they have developed scenarios for how the municipality can develop - by taking into account factors such as the composition of the population, company establishments such as Northvolt and investments that our business community has already decided. The report describes three paths and looks at both 2030 and 2040.
In this summary, we focus on the year 2030 and the future that would bring the greatest changes. To get there, many important pieces of the puzzle must fall into place: the business community must be successful and manage to recruit the right skills, while housing, schools and other public services are expanded as people move into the municipality.
If we do really well, we could be around 90,000 inhabitants by 2030.
This is a population increase of more than 16,000 people in just eight years, in addition to those who usually move here every year.
In other words, as many as currently live in Ursviken, Skelleftehamn, Bureå, Kåge, Byske, Boliden and Burträsk - together!
It is a whole extra Kiruna that moves in.
Or packed three times in Skellefteå Kraft Arena.
And those who move in will make Skellefteå younger.
About 600 more are babies and 200 more are new teenagers.
All in all, there are many more children and young people moving in.
In addition, Ramboll's analysis shows that there will be many more people between 20 and 40.
The propensity to move is greatest among young adults. The families moving to Skellefteå will therefore also have young children to a greater extent.
Almost 50,000 people will work in and around Skellefteå in 2030.
This is after the creation of 14,000 new jobs.
So the highest scenario shows the possibility of having 40% more jobs than today!
If there were five of us around the coffee table at work, the average workplace will have seven. But there is room for improvement.
New jobs will have been created on a broad front. Of the 14 000 jobs, 6 900 will be in industry, 4 300 in services, 690 in services and 2 300 in the public sector.
The largest single workplace that will employ many people is of course Northvolt, with around 3 000 employees. This investment, together with the subcontractors needed, makes the largest increase in industry. And when people move in to Skellefteå, it creates increased needs in public activities, but service companies also grow when demand from regional industries increases at the same time as people with the right skills move in.
In 2030, 19 000 children and young people will be attending pre-school and school. This is about 4 000 more than today.
Ramboll's highest scenario shows that by 2030 we will have about 4 000 more people in school than today.
1 300 more children will go to pre-schools.
This means many more forgotten mittens.
2,000 new students will be attending primary schools around the city.
That's more than three new Flora schools!
And we will have just over 600 more pupils in upper secondary schools.
It is important that the infrastructure can cope with all the new mop trucks and EPA tractors.
It will mostly be young families and people of the age where families often grow who move in. This means that the increase by 2030 will mainly be in pre-school and primary and secondary schools.
To accommodate all the new people, around 9000 homes are needed.
The scenario analysis also indicates that a housing market that functions well needs many different types of housing - and about 4,000 homes need to be rental apartments.
This is almost as many apartments as Skebo owns today.
In addition, we need just over 2,000 new detached and terraced houses and the same number of new tenant-owned apartments.
A mixed range of housing is needed because the people who move to Skellefteå have different wishes and needs. The distribution of housing is an estimate based on how cities that have grown rapidly in recent years have developed their supply of housing.
The need for health and social care will also increase.
With more people, the need for care will increase by about 19%.
In elderly care, there will be 800 more people than today. But this has little to do with the settlements, says Ramboll in its analysis. 'It is a result of the fact that those of us who already live here are getting older.
So, Skellefteå can change. Quickly and a lot.
All this sounds both wonderful and a little scary. And there is a lot that needs to fall into place for us to reach these levels already in 2030. It depends on how the markets develop, on how companies invest, how we build and on each of us who live in Skellefteå today. Do we dare to take advantage of the opportunities? Can we sort out what is most difficult to solve? And in some cases just like the situation for a while when it is messy? Because that too will be needed.
We hope you will join the discussion about hopes, fears and all the things we need to do.
Skellefteå municipality commissioned the community developers Ramboll to produce future images of how the municipality can develop, based on the situation that is known today. The results are based on information about the composition of the population, company establishments such as Northvolt and investments that our business community has already decided on. The report describes three tracks and looks at 2030 and 2040.
In this summary, we focus on the year 2030 and the future that would bring the biggest changes. To get there, many important pieces of the puzzle must fall into place: business must be successful, companies must succeed in their efforts to recruit the right skills, and housing, schools and other public services must be expanded as people move to the municipality.
Sidinformation
- Senast uppdaterad:
- 14 maj 2025